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Federal Reserve Board - Population Growth and Labor Market Fragility: Lessons from Domestic and International Experiences, Accessible Data
Sahm Rules at the Aggregate and State Level This is a line chart showing...Sahm rule was triggered. Aggregate Sahm rule calculated by HAVER and state-level
URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/notes/feds-notes/population-growth-and-labor-market-fragility-lessons-from-domestic-and-international-experiences-accessible-20260520.htm
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The Fed - Population Growth and Labor Market Fragility: Lessons from Domestic and International Experiences
Sahm rule is highly correlated with times that the aggregate Sahm rule...Sahm rule was triggered. Aggregate Sahm rule calculated by HAVER and state-level
URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/notes/feds-notes/population-growth-and-labor-market-fragility-lessons-from-domestic-and-international-experiences-20260520.html
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The Fed - Heterogeneity in the Marginal Propensity to Consume among U.S. Households
Skip to main content An official website of the United States Government Here's how you know Official websites use .gov A .gov website belongs
URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/notes/feds-notes/heterogeneity-in-the-marginal-propensity-to-consume-among-u-s-households-20261009.html
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The Fed - Assessing Recession Risks with State-Level Data
Sahm Rule, the rule proposed by Michaillat and Saez (2025), the Cleveland
URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/notes/feds-notes/assessing-recession-risks-with-state-level-data-20260107.html
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The Fed - FEDS Notes - 2016
Sahm Severe weather events, such as blizzards and hurricanes, can temporarily...Sahm and Jason Sockin In this note, we use the household-level data in
URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/notes/feds-notes/2016-index.htm
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The Fed - Another Look at Residual Seasonality in GDP
Sahm According to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, real GDP rose at an
URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/notes/feds-notes/another-look-at-residual-seasonality-in-gdp-20170728.html
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The Fed - The Effect of Sales-Tax Holidays on Consumer Spending
Sahm 1 Over the past decade, many U.S. states have enacted policies that
URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/notes/feds-notes/effect-of-sales-tax-holidays-on-consumer-spending-20170324.html
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The Fed - FEDS Notes - 2015
Skip to main content An official website of the United States Government Here's how you know Official websites use .gov A .gov website belongs
URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/notes/feds-notes/2015-index.htm
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The Fed - Do national account statistics underestimate US real output growth?
Sahm (2015). Residual seasonality in GDP. FEDS Notes 2015-05-14, Board...Sahm (2017). Another look at residual seasonality in GDP. FEDS Notes 2017
URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/notes/feds-notes/do-national-account-statistics-underestimate-us-real-output-growth-20180109.html
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The Fed - High-frequency Spending Responses to the Earned Income Tax Credit
Sahm Many households face large, high-frequency changes in income and
URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/notes/feds-notes/high-frequency-spending-responses-to-the-earned-income-tax-credit-20180621.html
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