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The Fed's Fine-Tune: Coarse Statements and Predictive Pressers
Economic Analysis for helpful comments. †Pukyong National University; ...of- 1Furthermore, many studies have documented the importance of speeches
URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/files/2026029pap.pdf
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Assessing Maximum Employment
Summary of Economic Projections (SEP) submitted by FOMC participants are...projections of the unemployment rate represent each participant’s assessment
URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/files/2025067pap.pdf
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Household Consumption Does Not Respond Directly to Interest Rates: Evidence From 10 Macroeconomic Shocks
projections. In the first approach, we extend a heterogeneous-agent consumption-savings
URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/files/2025021r1pap.pdf
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The Fed - Monetary Policy: Monetary Policy Report (Branch)
SummaryPart 1: Recent Economic and Financial DevelopmentsPart 2: Monetary...Summary of Economic ProjectionsAbbreviations Part 2: Monetary Policy Monetary
URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/2021-07-mpr-part2.htm
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The Fed - Monetary Policy: Monetary Policy Report (Branch)
SummaryPart 1: Recent Economic and Financial DevelopmentsPart 2: Monetary...Summary of Economic ProjectionsAbbreviations Part 2: Monetary Policy Monetary
URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/2020-06-mpr-part2.htm
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FRB: FEDS Notes: Using cross-state variation to assess the potential for additional improvement in measures of labor market conditions
economic reasons, and wage growth--all of which have continued to show...economic reasons (PTER), the CPS-based job finding rate, the CPS-based
URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econresdata/notes/feds-notes/2014/using-cross-state-variation-to-assess-the-potential-for-additional-improvement-in-measures-of-labor-market-conditions-20140602.html
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Speech by Vice Chair Jefferson on central bank communication - Federal Reserve Board
Summary of Economic Projections (SEP). In 2011, Chair Bernanke started...bag-of-words technique to estimate media sentiment during FOMC announcement
URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/jefferson20250221a.htm
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Supervisory Stress Test Documentation Global Market Shock Component - February 2026
projection horizon, whereas the severely adverse macroeconomic scenario...projection horizon. This timing is based on a scenario assumption that
URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/supervisionreg/files/2026-final-gms-model.pdf
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FRB: FOMC Minutes, January 27-28, 2009
Summary of Economic Projections A meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee...of, and to have outstanding forward contracts to receive or to deliver
URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomcminutes20090128.htm
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Beige Book, August 2026
review-of-monetary-policy-strategy-tools-and-communications-fed-listens-events.htm...Summary Overall Economic Activity Economic activity increased modestly
URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/files/BeigeBook_20260902.pdf
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