Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System

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• The Fed - Term Structure of Interest Rates with Regime Shifts

  expectations hypothesis, the observed conditional volatility, and the

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/term-structure-of-interest-rates-with-regime-shifts.htm
  



• The Fed - Generalized Spectral Estimation

  expectations models. The framework recognizes that RE models are often

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/generalized-spectral-estimation.htm
  



• The Fed - Labor Productivity: Structural Change and Cyclical Dynamics

  expectations of future demand and supply conditions. The novelty of the

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/labor-productivity-structural-change-and-cyclical-dynamics.htm
  



• The Fed - Learning and Misperception: Implications for Price-Level Targeting

  expectations about the future path of the policy rate. We develop a flexible

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/learning-and-misperception-implications-for-price-level-targeting.htm
  



• The Fed - Sticky Leverage: Comment

  Ander Perez-Orive, and Bálint Szőke Abstract: We revisit the role of long-term...expectations equilibrium. Keywords: Corporate leverage, Debt overhang,

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/sticky-leverage-comment.htm
  



• The Fed - Wage Curve vs. Phillips Curve: Are There Macroeconomic Implications?

  expectations to generate the accelerationist price inflation formula.

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/wage-curve-vs-phillips-curve-are-there-macroeconomic-implications.htm
  



• The Fed - Elections and Macroeconomic Policy Cycles

  expectations macroeconomic theory. Here we show that electoral cycle in

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/ifdp/elections-and-macroeconomic-policy-cycles.htm
  



• The Fed - Monetary Stabilization Policy in an Open Economy

  expectations in the foreign exchange market. Analytical expressions and

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/ifdp/monetary-stabilization-policy-in-an-open-economy.htm
  



• The Fed - Currency Crashes and Bond Yields in Industrial Countries

  expectations. When inflation is high and rising at the time of a currency...Otherwise-and in every currency crash since 1985-bond yields tend to fall

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/ifdp/currency-crashes-and-bond-yields-in-industrial-countries.htm
  



• The Fed - Realized Bank Risk during the Great Recession

  expectations of bank default. We assess whether the ex-ante (i.e. prior

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/ifdp/realized-bank-risk-during-the-great-recession.htm
  

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