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Capturing Heterogeneity: Machine Learning Approaches to Implied Volatility Forecasting
market conditions but adjusts sub- stantially following market shocks....times, whereas they depend more on the previous-day information during
URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/files/2026049pap.pdf
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The Fed - Are Rising U.S. Interest Rates Destabilizing for Emerging Market Economies?
S&P 500 futures are used in case of employment reports. Source: Bloomberg...conditions are generally limited and, statistically speaking, indistinguishable
URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/notes/feds-notes/are-rising-u-s-interest-rates-destabilizing-for-emerging-market-economies-20210623.html
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U.S. Bancorp - 2026 SCB Actions
s capital requirements before the Board can adopt final models after a...economic conditions, (2) a change in the financial condition of USB or
URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/supervisionreg/files/2026-scb-actions-us-bancorp.pdf
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Tariffs and Goods-Market Search Frictions
market thickness effects. We calibrate our baselineto U.S. and Chinese...U.S. and Chinese data in 2016. First, the optimal U.S. unilateral tariff
URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/ifdp/files/ifdp1437.pdf
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The Effects of the War on Ukraine on Global Corporate Investment
economic effects of the war on Ukraine. The war elevated global economic...S&P Global Market Intelligence, 2025). Our sample covers the years from
URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/ifdp/files/ifdp1432.pdf
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Market Liquidity in Treasury Futures Market During March 2020
U.S. Treasury futures market during the height of the COVID-19 shock in...U.S. Treasury futures market to study the trading behavior of different
URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/files/2025038pap.pdf
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Order Approving Establishment of a Branch
U.S., and HSBC operates a registered broker–dealer and futures commission...U.S.-originated Global Trade Solutions business line.5 The New York Branch
URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/supervisionreg/files/other-order-20260618.pdf
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Kalshi and the Rise of Macro Markets
before falling after a stronger-than-expected June employment report. ...before the FOMC meeting. We find the Kalshi median and mode have a perfect
URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/files/2026010pap.pdf
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The Fed - What Do Quoted Spreads Tell Us About Machine Trading at Times of Market Stress? Evidence from Treasury and FX Markets during the COVID-19-Related Market Turmoil in March 2020
Times of Market Stress? Evidence from Treasury and FX Markets during the...conditions in Treasury futures markets deteriorated less than those in
URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/notes/feds-notes/what-do-quoted-spreads-tell-us-about-machine-trading-market-stress-march-2020-20200925.html
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Speech by Governor Barr on the economic outlook and financial inclusion
U.S. economy—entrepreneurship, financial inclusion, technological innovation...Before I proceed, I wanted to share a few thoughts about the economy.
URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/files/barr20260901a.pdf
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