Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System

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• The Fed - Predicting Analysts’ S&P 500 Earnings Forecast Errors and Stock Market Returns using Macroeconomic Data and Nowcasts

  rate movements, can predict large and statistically significant errors

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/predicting-analysts-sp-500-earnings-forecast-errors-and-stock-market-returns-using-macroeconomic-data-and-nowcasts.htm
  



• The Fed - Evaluating the Predictive Performance of Trade-Account Models

  rates, and changes in the share of production and exports of manufactured

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/ifdp/evaluating-the-predictive-performance-of-trade-account-models.htm
  



• The Fed - Revisiting the Border: An Assessment of the Law of One Price Using Very Disaggregated Consumer Price Data

  rates, prices PDF: Full Paper Disclaimer: The economic research that is

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/ifdp/revisiting-the-border-an-assessment-of-the-law-of-one-price-using-very-disaggregated-consumer-price-data.htm
  



• The Fed - Asset Bubbles, Domino Effects and 'Lifeboats': Elements of the East Asian Crisis

  rate. The initial fall in asset values is followed by the ‘knock-on’ effects

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/ifdp/asset-bubbles-domino-effects-and-39lifeboats39-elements-of-the-east-asian-crisis.htm
  



• The Fed - Inflation Targeting and Nominal Income Growth Targeting: When and Why Are They Suboptimal?

  rate is the instrument of monetary policy. Special attention is devoted

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/ifdp/inflation-targeting-and-nominal-income-growth-targeting-when-and-why-are-they-suboptimal.htm
  



• The Fed - Assessing Structural VARs

  rates of confidence intervals compare with their nominal size? We address

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/ifdp/assessing-structural-vars.htm
  



• The Fed - Transmission of Volatility and Trading Activity in the Global Interdealer Foreign Exchange Market: Evidence from Electronic Broking Services (EBS) Data

  rate, volatility, trading volume, high-frequency data PDF: Full Paper

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/ifdp/transmission-of-volatility-and-trading-activity-in-the-global-interdealer-foreign-exchange-market-evidence-from-electronic-.htm
  



• The Fed - The Evolution and Determinants of Emerging Market Credit Spreads in the 1990s

  rates explain relatively little of the decline in emerging market bond

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/ifdp/the-evolution-and-determinants-of-emerging-market-credit-spreads-in-the-1990s.htm
  



• The Fed - The Housing Crisis and State and Local Government Tax Revenue: Five Channels

  rates. The other four channels have had a relatively modest effect on

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/the-housing-crisis-and-state-and-local-government-tax-revenue-five-channels.htm
  



• The Fed - Allocation and Financial Market Frictions: Some Direct Evidence from the Dispersion in Borrowing Costs

  rate spreads on their outstanding publicly-traded debt. Given the observed

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/allocation-and-financial-market-frictions-some-direct-evidence-from-the-dispersion-in-borrowing-costs.htm
  

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