Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System

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• The Fed - Can Forecast Errors Predict Financial Crises? Exploring the Properties of a New Multivariate Credit Gap

  credit-to-GDP gaps in signaling financial crises, especially at longer

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/can-forecast-errors-predict-financial-crises.htm
  



• The Fed - Financial Intermediation, Investment Dynamics and Business Cycle Fluctuations

  GDP and 60% of investment volatility. Full paper (Screen Reader Version

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/financial-intermediation-investment-dynamics-and-business-cycle-fluctuations.htm
  



• The Fed - Firm Dynamics and the Origins of Aggregate Fluctuations

  GDP growth fluctuations. Accessible materials (.zip) | Replication Files

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/ifdp/firm-dynamics-and-the-origins-of-aggregate-fluctuations.htm
  



• The Fed - Financial Business Cycles

  GDP, nonlinearity, asymmetry, time variation, conditional response, prediction

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/ifdp/financial-business-cycles.htm
  



• FRB: Summary of Economic Projections -- October 28-29, 2008 Material

  GDP Growth 0.0 to 0.3 -0.2 to 1.1 2.3 to 3.2 2.8 to 3.6 June projections...GDP growth, PCE inflation and core PCE inflation are fourth-quarter-to-fourth-quarter

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/files/FOMC20081029SEPmaterial.htm
  



• The Fed - F.131 Holding Companies

  debt securities; asset FA734022605 58.6 -4.9 -3.6 13.8 -9.6 18.8 10.3 ...debt (market value) FA733092305 -2.6 1.8 -0.6 -7.2 -6.5 11.6 4.5 -9.0

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/z1/20260109/html/f131.htm
  



• SECTION 249.32—Outflow Amounts

  Debt Reductions for the Poorest Countries SECTION 63—Principles for International

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/frrs/regulations/section-24932-outflow-amounts.htm
  



• DSGE Models Update

  To: Federal Open Market Committee From: Matthew M. Luecke Subject: DSGE...GDP growth, core PCE inflation, and the federal funds rate are displayed

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/files/FOMC20190909memo01.pdf
  



• The Fed - Steven A. Sharpe

  Debt Contracting Mark Carey, Mitch Post, and Steven A. Sharpe Empirical...Debt Maturity and the Back-to-the-Wall Theory of Corporate Finance George

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/steven-a-sharpe.htm
  



• The Fed - 3. Leverage in the Financial Sector

  held-to-maturity (HTM) securities portfolios. By the end of 2022, banks

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/publications/2023-may-financial-stability-report-leverage.htm
  

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