Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System

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• The Fed - Effective Lower Bound Risk

  key features of the U.S. economy, we find that the tail risk induced by

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/effective-lower-bound-risk.htm
  



• The Fed - The Risky Steady State and the Interest Rate Lower Bound

  key features of the U.S. economy, we find that the tail risk induced by

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/the-risky-steady-state-and-the-interest-rate-lower-bound.htm
  



• The Fed - Global Trade and GDP Co-Movement

  key for low income countries. Finally, we present evidence that the density

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/ifdp/global-trade-and-gdp-co-movement.htm
  



• The Fed - Predictable Uncertainty in Economic Forecasting

  Key features of predictable forecast uncertainty are illustrated by several

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/ifdp/predictable-uncertainty-in-economic-forecasting.htm
  



• The Fed - Global Financial Conditions, Country Spreads and Macroeconomic Fluctuations in Emerging Countries

  key mechanism through which global financial shocks are transmitted to

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/ifdp/global-financial-conditions-country-spreads-and-macroeconomic-fluctuations-in-emerging-countries.htm
  



• The Fed - Portfolio Diversification and the Cross-Sectional Distribution of Foreign Investment

  key new empirical finding is a strong and significant correlation between

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/ifdp/portfolio-diversification-and-the-cross-sectional-distribution-of-foreign-investment.htm
  



• The Fed - Financial Frictions and Macroeconomic Fluctuations in Emerging Economies

  key emerging market business cycle moments. Time varying uncertainty in

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/ifdp/financial-frictions-and-macroeconomic-fluctuations-in-emerging-economies.htm
  



• The Fed - The Anatomy of Single-Digit Inflation in the 1960s

  key regards from the one that prevailed on the eve of the pandemic. Hence

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/the-anatomy-of-single-digit-inflation-in-the-1960s.htm
  



• Federal Reserve Board - The Fourth SNB-FRB-BIS High-Level Conference on Global Risk, Uncertainty, and Volatility: Risk and Uncertainty in a Post-Pandemic World; Implications for the Economy, Financial Markets, and Monetary Policy, Accessible Data

  the dashed black line), and the U.S. Trade policy uncertainty index (TPU...key episodes where uncertainties were particularly elevated: the global

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/notes/feds-notes/the-fourth-snb-frb-bis-high-level-conf-on-global-risk-uncertainty-and-volatility-risk-and-uncertainty-accessible-20250711.htm
  



• The Fed - Trends in Household Portfolio Composition

  key assets—housing and financial market assets—have driven the aggregate

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/trends-in-household-portfolio-composition.htm
  

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