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Out-of-sample performance of recession probability models
To: Distribution From: Tyler Pike and Francisco Vazquez-Grande Subject....4 We do so to simulate the prediction that would have been available
URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/files/FOMC20190912memo02.pdf
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FRB: Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey: January 2014
.4 The survey included a set of special questions on retail small business...debt-to-income ratio of the business owners applying for such loans. Even
URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/boarddocs/SnLoanSurvey/201411/default.htm
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FRB: IFDP Notes: The Effects of Demographic Change on GDP Growth in OECD Economies
4 percent in 1950, decreased to below 1-1/4 percent in 2000, and is projected...up-to-date coverage, with data going through 2010.7 3. Empirical Effects
URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econresdata/notes/ifdp-notes/2016/effects-of-demographic-change-on-gdp-growth-in-oecd-economies-20160928.html
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Household, Bank, and Insurer Exposure to Miami Hurricanes: a flow-of-risk analysis
3.4 The Hurricane Ian Spillover Effects Scenario . . . . . . . . . . 16...4 Conclusion 25 A Model 28 A.1 Homeowner types . . . . . . . . . . . .
URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/files/2023013pap.pdf
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The Fed - Monetary Policy, Hot Housing Markets and Leverage
loan-to-value ratios increase after expansionary monetary policy. Calibrating...loan-to-value ratio which amplify the economy's response to monetary policy
URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/monetary-policy-hot-housing-markets-and-leverage.htm
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The Fed - Financial Vulnerabilities, Macroeconomic Dynamics, and Monetary Policy
credit-to-GDP gap when it is high leads to a recession. Risk appetite ...credit-to-GDP gap is high, suggesting important benefits from avoiding
URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/financial-vulnerabilities-macroeconomic-dynamics-and-monetary-policy.htm
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FRB: Summary of Economic Projections -- October 30-31, 2007 Material
4 Unemployment Rate 4.7 to 4.8 4.8 to 4.9 4.8 to 4.9 4.7 to 4.9 June projections...fourth-quarter-to-fourth-quarter growth rates, i.e. percentage changes
URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/files/FOMC20071031SEPmaterial.htm
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FRB: H.2--District 7--Chicago--Week ending August 10, 2013
4c8 First Merchants Corporation, Munster, Indiana, to acquire via merger...mutual-to-stock conversion of Home Savings Bank, a state chartered mutual
URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/Releases/H2/20130810/chicago.htm
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Federal Reserve Board - Actions under delegated authority week ending November 09, 2024
4, 2024 Savings and Loan Holding Companies Atlanta Magnolia Bancorp, Inc...mutual-to-stock conversion of Mutual Savings and Loan Association. Approved
URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/Releases/H2/20241109/delactions.htm
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FRB: H.2--District 7--Chicago--Week ending June 20, 2015
4c8 * 3A1 Mid Illinois Bancorp, Inc., Employee Stock Ownership Plan, Peoria...mutual-to-stock conversion of New Buffalo Savings Bank, a federally chartered
URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/Releases/H2/20150620/chicago.htm
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