Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System

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• The Fed - Underlying Inflation: An Ensemble Averaging Approach

  plots ULI estimates as the models estimate them having seen the data through

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/notes/feds-notes/underlying-inflation-an-ensemble-averaging-approach-20250325.html
  



• FRB: Beige Book - Full report

  March 7, 2001 Summary of Commentary on Current Economic Conditions by Federal Reserve District Summary Prepared at the Federal Reserve Bank

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/fomc/beigebook/2001/20010307/FullReport.htm
  



• Federal Reserve Board - Do national account statistics underestimate US real output growth? Accessible Data

  plot: GDP Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2000s 0.9 2.6 1.7 1.4 2010-2016 1.1 2.5 2.5 2.3 ...plot: BEA Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2000s 1.8 2.1 1.5 1.2 2010-2016 1.4 2.2 2.7 2.2

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/notes/feds-notes/do-national-account-statistics-underestimate-us-real-output-growth-accessible-20180109.htm
  



• The Fed - Central Banks' Financial Stability Communications during the COVID-19 Pandemic

  plots the change in FSS indexes on the y-axis and GDP growth (in percent

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/notes/feds-notes/central-banks-financial-stability-communications-during-the-covid-19-pandemic-20200918.html
  



• FRB: Front-End Term Premiums in Federal Funds Futures Rates and Implied Probabilities of Future Rate Hikes, Accessible Data

  plots the fed funds rate step path on September 12, 2016 for two assumptions...plots the fed funds rate expectations 2-years ahead. The blue line plots

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econresdata/notes/feds-notes/2016/front-end-term-premiums-in-federal-funds-futures-rates-and-implied-probabilities-of-future-rate-hikes-accessible-20161118.html
  



• FRB: FEDS Notes: Dynamics of Overnight Money Markets: What Has Changed at the Zero Lower Bound?

  Dots indicate point estimates and the surrounding bands are 95% confidence...Dots indicate point estimates and the surrounding bands are 95% confidence

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econresdata/notes/feds-notes/2015/dynamics-of-overnight-money-markets-what-has-changed-at-the-zero-lower-bound-151221.html
  



• Federal Reserve Board - The Great Recession and a Missing Generation of Exporters, Accessible Data

  plots firm entry and exit rates in foreign markets from 1993 to 2014. ...plots the difference between the entry and exit rate. Since the entry

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/notes/feds-notes/the-great-recession-and-a-missing-generation-of-exporters-accessible-20200306.htm
  



• Federal Reserve Board - Principal Trading Firm Activity in Treasury Cash Markets, Accessible Data

  plots shares of trading volume by participant type for the entire Treasury

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/notes/feds-notes/principal-trading-firm-activity-in-treasury-cash-markets-accessible-20200804.htm
  



• The Fed - Why Do Mutual Funds Invest in Treasury Futures?

  plotted at a daily frequency while Treasury futures positions are plotted...plots the increase in mutual funds' Treasury exposures– including Treasury

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/notes/feds-notes/why-do-mutual-funds-invest-in-treasury-futures-20240510.html
  



• Federal Reserve Board - Underlying Inflation: An Ensemble Averaging Approach, Accessible Data

  plot of the model ULI estimates from 2019:Q4 through 2024:Q4. The orange...plot of the model ULI estimates from 2019:Q1 through 2024:Q4. The colored

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/notes/feds-notes/underlying-inflation-an-ensemble-averaging-approach-accessible-20250325.htm
  

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