Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System

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• The Fed - Time-varying uncertainty of the Federal Reserve's output gap estimate

  responses in economic variables. Accessible materials (.zip) Original

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/time-varying-uncertainty-of-the-federal-reserves-output-gap-estimate.htm
  



• The Fed - Optimal Monetary Policy with State-Dependent Pricing

  response to aggregate shocks. Key to this finding is an "envelope" property

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/optimal-monetary-policy-with-state-dependent-pricing.htm
  



• The Fed - Bottom-up leading macroeconomic indicators: An application to non-financial corporate defaults using machine learning

  responses validate the interpretation of the index as a measure of financial

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/bottom-up-leading-macroeconomic-indicators-an-application-to-non-financial-corporate-defaults-using-machine-learning.htm
  



• The Fed - Pricing Poseidon: Extreme Weather Uncertainty and Firm Return Dynamics

  responses to the uncertainty regarding both potential hurricane landfall

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/pricing-poseidon-extreme-weather-uncertainty-and-firm-return-dynamics.htm
  



• The Fed - Sellin' in the Rain: Adaptation to Weather and Climate in the Retail Sector

  responses to weather, I find no evidence that ecommerce offsets any of

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/sellin-in-the-rain-adaptation-to-weather-and-climate-in-the-retail-sector.htm
  



• The Fed - What are the Price Effects of Trade? Evidence from the U.S. and Implications for Quantitative Trade Models

  response is driven by declining markups for domestically-produced goods

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/what-are-the-price-effects-of-trade-evidence-from-the-us-and-implications-for-quantitative-trade-models.htm
  



• The Fed - Do Mortgage Subsidies Help or Hurt Borrowers?

  responses attenuate efficiency losses. My results provide broader methodological

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/do-mortgage-subsidies-help-or-hurt-borrowers.htm
  



• The Fed - Gauging the Ability of the FOMC to Respond to Future Recessions

  response to a future recession, suggesting a risk that economic downturns

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/gauging-the-ability-of-the-fomc-to-respond-to-future-recessions.htm
  



• The Fed - Interpreting Shocks to the Relative Price of Investment with a Two-Sector Model

  response to shocks that permanently move the price of investment. The

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/interpreting-shocks-to-the-relative-price-of-investment-with-a-two-sector-model.htm
  



• The Fed - Monetary Policy, Real Activity, and Credit Spreads: Evidence from Bayesian Proxy SVARs

  response of all variables to monetary shocks. Accessible materials (.zip

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/monetary-policy-real-activity-and-credit-spreads-evidence-from-bayesian-proxy-svars.htm
  

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