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The Fed - Out-of-Sample Performance of Recession Probability Models
R2.) As policymakers take their decisions in real time, however, in-sample...R2 can be misleading in gauging the usefulness of a given model. This
URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/notes/feds-notes/out-of-sample-performance-of-recession-probability-models-20191213.html
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tables
2.7 Nondurable 22.26 2.2 -1.8 .2 2.0 1.2 .5 -2.9 .4 -.6 -.3 -.1 .6 Non-energy...2.2 5.3 2.1 1.2 -.4 -.7 .9 -.2 Mining 21 6.32 .8 -.6 -2.4 -6.2 -2.5 .2
URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/Releases/g17/20030117/table1.htm
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Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization
2.6 3.2 2.6 -.7 -2.8 -2.5 .2 1.6 120.9 121.7 121.8 122.0 122.2 122.3 122.5...2211,2 2.6 6.0 2.2 2.2 1.2 4.5 3.2 2.4 129.6 131.3 131.5 131.7 132.0 132.2
URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/Releases/g17/20120717/table3_sup.htm
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Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization
2.0 1.9 2.0 2.6 3.3 2.8 2.0 2.4 147.1 148.8 149.0 149.2 149.5 149.7 150.0...2.4 -2.7 -2.5 -2.1 -2.2 137.1 135.4 135.1 134.9 134.7 134.4 134.2 Leather
URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/Releases/g17/20160217/table3_sup.htm
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Federal Reserve Board - Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization - G.17
.2 -.2 .6 Paper products .78 -7.2 -5.2 -4.4 2.3 -1.6 -4.7 .3 1.1 .7 -2.2...2.2 2.5 3.3 -2.7 -1.2 5.2 Equipment parts 4.53 -3.2 -7.4 8.6 5.8 6.1 1.2
URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/Releases/g17/20220715/table1.htm
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Federal Reserve Board - Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization - G.17
.2 -1.2 -1.9 1.2 -.2 1.4 Transit 1.76 -12.0 2.2 7.4 26.2 7.6 -.6 .3 1.4...2.11 -1.0 -.1 6.5 1.3 5.2 4.0 2.2 .2 -.7 -.5 2.2 -.5 2.0 Primary metals
URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/Releases/g17/20230317/table1.htm
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Federal Reserve Board - Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization - G.17
2.3 -2.4 .1 Paper products -2.6 -7.2 -3.0 -.8 -4.9 .3 -.1 2.2 3.6 -.2 ...18.2 -2.6 .2 -.6 -2.5 -.5 -2.9 Chemicals 325 -1.6 -1.7 -.1 5.9 -1.2 .2
URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/Releases/g17/Revisions/20230328/table2_rev.htm
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tables
1.2 2.5 2.5 -.7 8.3 Nondurable 23.04 -1.2 -2.0 -.5 7.2 4.2 -1.6 1.1 -.7...2.0 2.7 -.2 -.7 .0 -.6 2.2 .0 3.4 Materials 43.68 4.0 -8.2 -3.2 8.2 8.6
URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/Releases/g17/20100715/table1.htm
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Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization
4.2 -.5 1.4 Home electronics 12.1 7.0 2.4 3.4 4.8 6.9 9.6 -2.2 -2.5 2.7...2.0 -3.1 1.5 -1.2 -2.1 Fabricated metal products 332 4.2 1.4 2.9 2.4 -
URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/Releases/g17/revisions/20150721/table2_rev.htm
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Federal Reserve Board - Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization - G.17
.2 Textile .32 1.3 -5.9 -3.9 1.1 -13.1 2.2 -1.7 .3 2.2 2.4 -1.0 2.0 -.2...2.3 -2.5 5.1 7.5 -.9 -.2 3.1 -.3 .0 .2 2.2 Chemical 5.52 6.5 -6.7 2.9
URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/Releases/g17/20240618/table1.htm
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