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Documents are displayed in order of relevance.
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Out-of-sample performance of recession probability models
coin to make the forecastβππππ(ππ) = πΉπΉππ(ππ), for all ππ...coin-toss classifier has AUROC = 0.5. AUROC is equal to the probability
URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/files/FOMC20190912memo02.pdf
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FRB: H.4.1 Release-- Factors Affecting Reserve Balances -- April 27, 2000
Dollars Change Since * Wednesday Wednesday Wednesday Apr 26, 2000 Apr ...26, 2000 Millions of dollars Kansas San Total Boston New York Philadelphia
URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h41/20000427/
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FRB: H.4.1 Release-- Factors Affecting Reserve Balances -- November 12, 1998
Coin 408 - 1 - 102 Loans 39 - 22 - 74 Acceptances 0 0 0 Federal agency...Coin 408 27 19 18 18 48 59 50 20 15 31 45 58 Loans 39 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 8
URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h41/19981112/
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FRB: H.4.1 Release-- Factors Affecting Reserve Balances -- June 24, 1999
Coin 337 - 5 - 74 Loans 294 + 159 + 98 Acceptances 0 0 0 Federal agency...Coin 337 10 14 38 13 39 41 33 22 23 23 44 38 Loans 294 4 1 1 0 0 10 151
URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h41/19990624/default.htm
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FRB: H.4.1 Release-- Factors Affecting Reserve Balances -- September 17, 1998
5 Special drawing rights certificate account 9,200 0 0 Coin 395 - 2 - ...Coin 395 14 23 15 23 39 66 55 20 13 27 51 49 Loans 203 0 1 13 0 0 17 31
URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h41/19980917/default.htm
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FRB: H.4.1 Release-- Factors Affecting Reserve Balances -- September 2, 1999
Coin 288 - 14 - 122 Loans 337 + 16 + 116 Acceptances 0 0 0 Federal agency...Coin 288 5 10 15 21 36 39 27 19 14 24 42 36 Loans 337 0 0 3 0 0 10 104
URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h41/19990902/default.htm
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FRB: H.4.1 Release-- Factors Affecting Reserve Balances -- September 10, 1998
Coin 397 - 12 - 90 Loans 186 - 35 - 183 Acceptances 0 0 0 Federal agency...Coin 397 11 23 15 26 37 67 56 21 13 27 51 50 Loans 186 0 0 0 0 0 8 30
URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h41/19980910/h41.htm
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FRB: H.4.1 Release-- Factors Affecting Reserve Balances -- July 01, 1999
Coin 311 - 26 - 78 Loans 220 - 74 - 493 Acceptances 0 0 0 Federal agency...Coin 311 9 13 39 11 36 38 28 18 21 22 41 34 Loans 220 6 0 2 0 0 41 49
URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h41/19990701/h41.htm
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FRB: H.4.1 Release-- Factors Affecting Reserve Balances -- July 08, 1999
Coin 293 - 18 - 84 Loans 222 + 2 + 19 Acceptances 0 0 0 Federal agency...Coin 293 7 14 37 11 34 36 26 16 19 21 42 32 Loans 222 2 0 0 28 0 9 43
URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h41/19990708/h41.htm
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FRB: H.4.1 Release-- Factors Affecting Reserve Balances -- April 30, 1998
5,120 - 21,243 26,047 Federal agency obligations Bought outright 559 -...Coin 457 25 30 42 28 50 44 60 17 22 44 35 62 Loans 60 1 0 0 0 0 5 21 8
URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h41/19980430/
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