Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System

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• The Fed - Financial Conditions and Economic Activity: Insights from Machine Learning

  rate one‐year ahead. Three lessons for macroeconomics and variable selection

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/financial-conditions-and-economic-activity-insights-from-machine-learning.htm
  



• The Fed - Intangible Capital and Economic Growth

  rate of change of output per worker increases more rapidly when intangibles

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/intangible-capital-and-economic-growth.htm
  



• The Fed - Some Implications of Uncertainty and Misperception for Monetary Policy

  rate, and substitute toward a more forceful response to inflation, is

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/some-implications-of-uncertainty-and-misperception-for-monetary-policy.htm
  



• The Fed - An Empirical Test of a Two-Factor Mortgage Valuation Model: How Much Do House Prices Matter?

  rate uncertainty if default occurs, are particularly suitable for developing

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/an-empirical-test-of-a-two-factor-mortgage-valuation-model-how-much-do-house-prices-matter.htm
  



• The Fed - Derivatives Pricing under Bilateral Counterparty Risk

  rate and the stochastic intensities of the counterparties' default times

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/derivatives-pricing-under-bilateral-counterparty-risk.htm
  



• The Fed - The Institutional Memory Hypothesis and the Procyclicality of Bank Lending Behavior

  rate premiums on individual loans, and over 2,000 observations on credit

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/the-institutional-memory-hypothesis-and-the-procyclicality-of-bank-lending-behavior.htm
  



• The Fed - Who Pays For Your Rewards? Redistribution in the Credit Card Market

  rates than on comparable cards without rewards. We estimate an aggregate

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/who-pays-for-your-rewards-redistribution-in-the-credit-card-market.htm
  



• The Fed - Jump-Diffusion Processes and Affine Term Structure Models: Additional Closed-Form Approximate Solutions, Distributional Assumptions for Jumps, and Parameter Estimates

  rate follows a jump-diffusion process are difficult to solve, and the

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/jump-diffusion-processes-and-affine-term-structure-models-additional-closed-form-approximate-solutions-distributional-assum.htm
  



• The Fed - Why and When do Spot Prices of Crude Oil Revert to Futures Price Levels?

  rates and convenience yield (the adjusted spot-futures spread), confirming

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/why-and-when-do-spot-prices-of-crude-oil-revert-to-futures-price-levels.htm
  



• The Fed - A Solution to the Default Risk-Business Cycle Disconnect

  rate on working capital. Models of strategic default explain the cyclical

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/ifdp/a-solution-to-the-default-risk-business-cycle-disconnect.htm
  

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