Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System

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• The Fed - On Signal Extraction and Non-Certainty-Equivalence in Optimal Monetary Policy Rules

  changed. Full paper (325 KB Postscript) Keywords: Signal extraction, certainty

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/on-signal-extraction-and-non-certainty-equivalence-in-optimal-monetary-policy-rules.htm
  



• The Fed - The Rigidity of Labor: Processing Savings and Work Decisions Through Shannon's Channels

  change consumption they do so by a large amount. This combination leads

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/the-rigidity-of-labor-processing-savings-and-work-decisions-through-shannon39s-channels.htm
  



• The Fed - Consumer Switching Costs and Firm Pricing: Evidence From Bank Pricing of Deposit Accounts

  change the bank's assessment of this trade-off such that the bank will

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/consumer-switching-costs-and-firm-pricing-evidence-from-bank-pricing-of-deposit-accounts.htm
  



• The Fed - What's Happened to the Phillips Curve?

  change leads to more accurate inflation predictions in the recent period

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/what39s-happened-to-the-phillips-curve.htm
  



• The Fed - Duration Risk versus Local Supply Channel in Treasury Yields: Evidence from the Federal Reserve's Asset Purchase Announcements

  changed over time and relative to the first Large Scale Asset Purchase

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/duration-risk-versus-local-supply-channel-in-treasury-yields.htm
  



• The Fed - What's Good for GM...? Using Auto Industry Stock Returns to Forecast Business Cycles and Test the Q-Theory of Investment

  changes in the growth rates of real GDP, consumption, and investment.

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/what39s-good-for-gm-using-auto-industry-stock-returns-to-forecast-business-cycles-and-test-the-q-theory-of-investment.htm
  



• The Fed - Bitcoin: Technical Background and Data Analysis

  changing exchange rate level. We also document that the exchange rates

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/bitcoin-technical-background-and-data-analysis.htm
  



• The Fed - Pandemic Recession Dynamics: The Role of Monetary Policy in Shifting a U-Shaped Recession to a V-Shaped Rebound

  changing a V-shaped rebound into a deep U-shaped recession absent large-scale

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/pandemic-recession-dynamics.htm
  



• The Fed - Current Expected Credit Losses (CECL) Standard and Banks' Information Production

  changes in CECL banks' financial reporting and operations. First, these

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/current-expected-credit-losses-cecl-standard-and-banks-information-production.htm
  



• The Fed - Credit Default Swaps in General Equilibrium: Spillovers, Credit Spreads, and Endogenous Default

  changes, the incentive to issue safe rather than risky bonds is fundamentally

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/credit-default-swaps-in-general-equilibrium-spillovers-credit-spreads-and-endogenous-default.htm
  

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