Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System

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• The Fed - Convenience Yield as a Driver of r*

  economic forces behind the decline in the natural rate since the 2000s...of) convenience yield directly affect the level of the natural rate. To

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/notes/feds-notes/convenience-yield-as-a-driver-of-r-20240903.html
  



• The Fed - Disinflation Progress: A Comparison of Advanced Economies

  economic conditions, materializing in a synchronized surge in price pressures...economic fallout of the pandemic, governments engaged in large fiscal

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/notes/feds-notes/disinflation-progress-a-comparison-of-advanced-economies-20240802.html
  



• The Fed - Drivers of Option-Implied Interest Rate Volatility

  economic activity. To illustrate this, I construct survey-based disagreement...Economic Indicators to proxy for inflation uncertainty and the real GDP

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/notes/feds-notes/drivers-of-option-implied-interest-rate-volatility-20241024.html
  



• The Fed - Global Implications of Brighter U.S. Productivity Prospects

  economic agents that are aware that the economy will be more productive

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/notes/feds-notes/global-implications-of-brighter-us-productivity-prospects-20240719.html
  



• The Fed - Computers and the Trade Deficit: The Case of the Falling Prices

  Economic Analysis (BEA) measures computer prices using techniques that...economic research that is linked from this page represents the views of

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/ifdp/computers-and-the-trade-deficit-the-case-of-the-falling-prices.htm
  



• The Fed - Cyclical Fluctuations in the Share of Corporate Profits in National Income

  economic research that is linked from this page represents the views of...economic research and their conclusions are often preliminary and are

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/ifdp/cyclical-fluctuations-in-the-share-of-corporate-profits-in-national-income.htm
  



• The Fed - Estimating the Hedging Effectiveness of Treasury Bill Futures: An Alternative Approach

  economic research that is linked from this page represents the views of...economic research and their conclusions are often preliminary and are

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/ifdp/estimating-the-hedging-effectiveness-of-treasury-bill-futures-an-alternative-approach.htm
  



• The Fed - Forward Exchange Rates as Estimates of Exchange Rate Expectations: A Comment

  economic research that is linked from this page represents the views of...economic research and their conclusions are often preliminary and are

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/ifdp/forward-exchange-rates-as-estimates-of-exchange-rate-expectations-a-comment.htm
  



• The Fed - Measuring U.S. International Relative Prices: A WARP View of the World

  out-of-sample fit, and parameter constancy. In addition, we find that ...economic research that is linked from this page represents the views of

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/ifdp/measuring-us-international-relative-prices-a-warp-view-of-the-world.htm
  



• The Fed - Oil Efficiency, Demand, and Prices: A Tale of Ups and Downs

  economic activity, our model informs about the propagation mechanisms.

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/ifdp/oil-efficiency-demand-and-prices-a-tale-of-ups-and-downs.htm
  

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