Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System

221112,4-8 | 3.54 | 105.4 100.9 93.4 103.6 | 110.5 92.4 86.3 99.0 Nuclear...104.4 102.4 102.0 100.0 | 102.9 103.5 105.3 103.4 99.2 99.1 Fiber, yarn

99.5 99.9 100.4 102.9 102.8 | 94.9 99.1 99.5 99.8 102.6 103.6 Crude oil...99.4 97.2 97.4 98.3 97.6 | 105.3 100.2 85.6 92.1 99.3 97.9 Beverage |

Asia, and Japan). Figures 2 through 6 illustrate the hypothetical trajectories...Asia. The severely adverse scenario is similar in severity to the 2012

99.6 92.7 94.7 114.1 101.9 | 101.4 104.9 95.7 96.2 112.8 99.1 Nonmetallic...102.4 103.8 104.7 103.6 102.7 103.5 | 105.1 107.7 108.8 99.2 99.6 100.5

99.5 95.4 91.7 95.7 99.0 | 102.4 119.7 114.8 100.2 93.6 93.7 Dairy product...99.5 101.8 102.4 99.7 99.9 | 98.9 94.1 95.4 97.2 97.3 100.3 Fluid milk

99.1 99.8 99.5 97.3 100.6 101.0 | 100.2 99.7 98.7 95.6 98.2 98.8 Grain...99.8 106.9 110.4 105.4 108.2 110.1 | 98.8 107.4 111.4 106.1 109.4 110.5

99.5 | 97.3 94.0 99.6 94.1 96.9 99.9 Nonmetallic mineral mining | | | ...99.3 99.5 | 97.1 95.2 93.7 99.0 100.5 99.6 Pulp mills 32211 | .07 | 106.0

99.7 104.2 101.4 99.5 99.5 | 98.5 104.0 104.5 92.8 88.7 94.4 Hydroelectric...104.4 102.3 102.9 | 108.8 99.2 99.6 101.4 100.0 102.4 Other food | 3119

99.3 94.5 99.1 109.4 Motor vehicle parts 3363 1.67 68.6 68.7 69.6 69.8...96.4 97.4 98.4 99.8 101.1 Construction supplies 4.05 76.2 76.2 77.1 76.8

99.2 99.4 99.1 99.7 100.2 100.1 100.3 100.5 98.8 99.2 99.6 100.3 99.5 ...98.4 99.9 87.4 95.6 97.4 95.1 2021 98.9 95.6 98.4 98.6 99.4 99.8 100.3