Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System

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• The Fed - Monetary Policy Rules Based on Real-Time Data

  rate, Taylor rule, real-time data PDF: Full Paper Disclaimer: The economic

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/monetary-policy-rules-based-on-real-time-data.htm
  



• The Fed - P* Revisited: Money-Based Inflation Forecasts with a Changing Equilibrium Velocity

  rates were at their long-run average (equilibrium) value. We simulate

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/p-revisited-money-based-inflation-forecasts-with-a-changing-equilibrium-velocity.htm
  



• The Fed - Reset Price Inflation and the Impact of Monetary Policy Shocks

  rate of change of all desired prices (including for goods that have not

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/reset-price-inflation-and-the-impact-of-monetary-policy-shocks.htm
  



• The Fed - Variance Risk Premia, Asset Predictability Puzzles, and Macroeconomic Uncertainty

  rate. These findings are potentially justifiable by a general equilibrium

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/variance-risk-premia-asset-predictability-puzzles-and-macroeconomic-uncertainty.htm
  



• The Fed - A Primer on the Economics and Time Series Econometrics of Wealth Effects

  rate of consumer spending. We show how simple economic theory is used

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/a-primer-on-the-economics-and-time-series-econometrics-of-wealth-effects.htm
  



• The Fed - The Effect of Monetary Policy on Monthly and Quarterly Stock Market Returns

  rate as the main policy indicator, seem robust to alternative specifications

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/the-effect-of-monetary-policy-on-monthly-and-quarterly-stock-market-returns.htm
  



• The Fed - Uncertainty and Disagreement in Economic Forecasting

  rates. Full paper (Screen Reader Version) Keywords: Survey expectations

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/uncertainty-and-disagreement-in-economic-forecasting.htm
  



• The Fed - A Risk-Factor Model Foundation for Ratings-Based Bank Capital Rules

  rates of convergence to asymptotic VaR leads to a simple and accurate

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/a-risk-factor-model-foundation-for-ratings-based-bank-capital-rules.htm
  



• The Fed - What's Happened at Divested Bank Offices? An Empirical Analysis of Antitrust Divestitures in Bank Mergers

  rates that are comparable to those of other similar branches. Cross-sectional

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/what39s-happened-at-divested-bank-offices-an-empirical-analysis-of-antitrust-divestitures-in-bank-mergers.htm
  



• The Fed - Financial Conditions and Economic Activity: Insights from Machine Learning

  rate one‐year ahead. Three lessons for macroeconomics and variable selection

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/financial-conditions-and-economic-activity-insights-from-machine-learning.htm
  

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