Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System

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• The Fed - Estimating Probabilities of Recession in Real Time Using GDP and GDI

  income (GDI), deflated by the GDP deflator, has done a better job recognizing

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/estimating-probabilities-of-recession-in-real-time-using-gdp-and-gdi.htm
  



• The Fed - How Much Does Risk Tolerance Change?

  income in the Health and Retirement Study to quantify changes in risk

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/how-much-does-risk-tolerance-change.htm
  



• The Fed - Leveraged Bank Loan versus High Yield Bond Mutual Funds

  fixed-income markets is relatively small for both types of MFs. Finally

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/leveraged-bank-loan-versus-high-yield-bond-mutual-funds.htm
  



• The Fed - Surveying the Aftermath of the Storm: Changes in Family Finances from 2007 to 2009

  income and employment. Full paper (Screen Reader Version) Keywords: Wealth

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/surveying-the-aftermath-of-the-storm-changes-in-family-finances-from-2007-to-2009.htm
  



• The Fed - The Equity Premium, Long-Run Risk, & Optimal Monetary Policy

  income. I show that this channel is generally absent in standard macroeconomic

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/the-equity-premium-long-run-risk-ampamp-optimal-monetary-policy.htm
  



• The Fed - The Replacement Demand for Motor Vehicles: Evidence from the Survey of Consumer Finances

  income, age, wealth, and creditworthiness. The data provide useful insights

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/the-replacement-demand-for-motor-vehicles-evidence-from-the-survey-of-consumer-finances.htm
  



• The Fed - Welfare and Spending Effects of Consumption Stimulus Policies

  income shock (Fagereng, Holm, and Natvik (2021)), we assess the effectiveness

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/welfare-and-spending-effects-of-consumption-stimulus-policies.htm
  



• The Fed - The Sustainability of Health Spending Growth

  income may lead to a significant expansion of public sector financing,

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/the-sustainability-of-health-spending-growth.htm
  



• The Fed - Partial Homeownership: A Quantitative Analysis

  low-income and renting households. 3) PO may reduce systemic risk despite

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/partial-homeownership-a-quantitative-analysis.htm
  



• The Fed - The Macroeconomic Effects of Excess Savings

  income distribution. The model predicts a substantial but steadily waning

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/the-macroeconomic-effects-of-excess-savings.htm
  

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