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Minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee October 28-29, 2025
debt issuance. Higher repo rates induced a fairly rapid increase in the...debt ceiling resolution, which likely affected the estimated elasticity
URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/files/fomcminutes20251029.pdf
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Kalshi and the Rise of Macro Markets
GDP growth, probability of recession, and federal funds rate target rates...GDP, core CPI, and unemployment—markets for which options data have historically
URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/files/2026010pap.pdf
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Nonlinear Effects of Loan-to-Value Constraints
Loan-to-Value Constraints C. Bora Durdu and Sergio Villalvazo 2024-081...Loan-to-value constraints, Debt-deflation. ∗We thank Luca Guerrieri, Gaston
URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/files/2024081pap.pdf
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The Fed - Monetary Policy: Monetary Policy Report (Branch)
Skip to main content An official website of the United States Government Here's how you know Official websites use .gov A .gov website belongs
URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/2022-02-mpr-part1.htm
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The Fed - Monetary Policy: Monetary Policy Report (Branch)
employment-to-population ratio for individuals 16 and over—the share of
URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/2020-06-mpr-part1.htm
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Lessons on Yield Caps or Targets from International and U.S. Experience
debt management. A. Lessons on Objectives The objectives of yield caps...to: (1) reinforce forward guidance near the effective lower bound (ELB
URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/files/FOMC20200529memo02.pdf
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Monetary Policy and Economic Performance since the Financial Crisis
GDP than did the Federal Reserve, without incurring substantial costs.
URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/files/FOMC20190712memo03.pdf
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Tealbook A, July 2020
GDP last quarter than we had projected. After moving down at a 5 percent...GDP fell at a 33 percent rate last quarter—still its largest quarterly
URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/files/FOMC20200729tealbooka20200717.pdf
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The Fed - Finance and Economics Discussion Series (FEDS) - 2012
debt-to-GDP ratios around the world in the aftermath of the financial ...debt-to-GDP ratio, government transfers, labour income tax, consumption
URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/2012.htm
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Tealbook A, December 2020
GDP will rise at an annual rate of 5 percent in the fourth quarter, leaving...GDP 2.3 percent below its year-earlier level, but we also expect spending
URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/files/FOMC20201216tealbooka20201204.pdf
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