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Do Anecdotes Matter? Exploring the Beige Book through Textual Analysis from 1970 to 2025
GDP growth and other metrics, the Beige Book sentiment provides meaningful...GDP growth and forecasting recessions, even more so than the yield spread
URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/files/2026004pap.pdf
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FOMC Meeting Presentation Materials, April 28-29, 2020
Offer-to-cover, favorable offer-to-cover Indicators to assess market functioning...Offer-to -Cover 0-2.25 2.25-4.5 4.5-7 7-20 20-30 Source: FRBNY (14) Offer-to-Cover
URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/files/FOMC20200429material.pdf
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Speech by Vice Chair for Supervision Bowman on the approach to monetary policy decision-making
For release on delivery 1:00 p.m. EDT September 26, 2025 Thoughts on Monetary Policy Decisionmaking and Challenges Ahead Remarks by Michelle W. Bowman
URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/files/bowman20250926a.pdf
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The Fed - What Drove Recent Trends in Corporate Bonds and Loans Usage?
Debt to GDP Left Panel - Sources: For nominal GDP, Bureau of Economic ...GDP, Bureau of Economic Analysis, National Income and Product Accounts
URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/notes/feds-notes/what-drove-recent-trends-in-corporate-bonds-and-loans-usage-20201023.html
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Tealbook B, March 2020
Content last modified 1/16/2026. Prefatory Note The attached document represents the most complete and accurate version available based on original
URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/files/FOMC20200315tealbookb20200312.pdf
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The Fed - Monetary Policy: Monetary Policy Report (Branch)
employment-to-population ratio, which encompasses both unemployment and...employment-to-population (EPOP) ratio—was about 3 percentage points below
URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/2021-07-mpr-part1.htm
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Tealbook A, May 2020
GDP growth in 2020, and the employment-to-population ratio ends the year...yet-to-be-enacted legislation, in the form of another stimulus payment
URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/files/FOMC20200610tealbooka20200529.pdf
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The Fed - Monetary Policy and Economic Developments
price-to-earnings ratios in equity markets. Borrowing from nonfinancial...GDP, and the combined debt-to-GDP ratio now sits close to its 20-year
URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/publications/2023-ar-monetary-policy.htm
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Government Debt, Limited Foresight, and Longer-term Interest Rates
debt. For instance, Mian et al. (2022) study the issue of debt sustainability...debt-to-GDP ratio on longer-run real interest rates ranges from 1 to 6
URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/files/2024027pap.pdf
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FRB: "Low-For-Long" Interest Rates and Portfolio Shifts in Advanced Foreign Economies
debt-to-GDP ratios (panel 4 of Exhibit 1) have been flat or declining ...debt relative to GDP (panel 1 of Exhibit 2). Of course, these aggregate
URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econresdata/notes/ifdp-notes/2016/low-for-long-interest-rates-and-portfolio-shifts-in-advanced-foreign-economies-20161230.html
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