Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System

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• The Fed - Predicting Future Recessions

  .1 Figure 1: Probability of recession during the year Source: Author's...1, at a yearly frequency, the recession probability model based on the

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/notes/feds-notes/predicting-future-recessions-20190506.html
  



• FRB: Press Release -- Resignation of Vice Chair Rivlin -- June 3, 1999

  M. Rivlin today submitted her resignation as Vice Chair and as a member

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/boarddocs/press/general/1999/19990603/default.htm
  



• Federal Reserve Board - Exploring Careers in Economics - Spring 2024

  a.m. ET on May 8, 2024. Watch the online webcast of the event at http:

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/conferences/exploring-careers-in-economics-spring-2024.htm
  



• The Fed - Linear Factor Models and the Estimation of Expected Returns

  J.M. Werker Abstract: This paper analyzes the properties of expected return

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/linear-factor-models-and-the-estimation-of-expected-returns.htm
  



• The Fed - The unreliability of credit-to-GDP ratio gaps in real-time: Implications for countercyclical capital buffers

  M. Edge and Ralf R. Meisenzahl Abstract: Macroeconomists have long recognized

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/the-unreliability-of-credit-to-gdp-ratio-gaps-in-real-time-implications-for-countercyclical-capital-buffers.htm
  



• The Fed - Using Generative AI Models to Understand FOMC Monetary Policy Discussions

  v1 0.89 0.91 0.84 0.90 0.91 0.86 0.95 0.97 0.82 Cohere.command-r-v1 0.85...1-70b-instruct-v1 0.91 0.91 0.90 0.90 0.92 0.88 0.95 0.96 0.85 Meta.llama3

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/notes/feds-notes/using-generative-ai-models-to-understand-fomc-monetary-policy-discussions-20241206.html
  



• The Fed - Supervisory Stress Test Results

  2.1 percentage points to 3.2 percentage points lower than at the start....1 through D.7).40 There are significant differences across BHCs in the

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/publications/2017-june-dodd-frank-act-stress-test-supervisory-stress-test-results.htm
  



• The Fed - Supervisory Stress Test Results

  1.4 percent. Under the severely adverse scenario, firms experienced a ...1) accrual loan portfolios and (2) trading and counterparty positions

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/publications/2018-june-dodd-frank-act-stress-test-supervisory-stress-test-results.htm
  



• FRB: H.4.1 Release--Factors Affecting Reserve Balances--July 1, 2010

  1,664 + 57 + 325 -1,948 Central bank liquidity swaps (14) 1,245 0 - 114,054...1,118,077 1,118,127 Weekly changes 0 0 0 - 1 - 1 - 10,533 - 10,534 Commercial

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h41/20100701/default.htm
  



• FRB: H.4.1 Release--Factors Affecting Reserve Balances--October 1, 2015

  1, 2015 1. Factors Affecting Reserve Balances of Depository Institutions...1, 2014 Currency in circulation (13) 1,384,849 + 1,269 + 95,731 1,387,415

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h41/20151001/default.htm
  

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