Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System

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• Supporting Documents for DSGE Models Update

  1The EDO model has been shown to forecast as well as, or better than, ...the red bars) is the most largest factor holding the federal funds rate

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/files/FOMC20120118memo01.pdf
  



• The Fed - Does Private Equity Over-Lever Portfolio Companies?

  and, to a lesser extent, an increase in asset return. Counterfactual analysis...compared to non PE-backed firms. Overall, my findings broaden our understanding

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/does-private-equity-over-lever-portfolio-companies.htm
  



• The Fed - The Geography of Capital Flows: What We Can Learn from Benchmark Surveys of Foreign Equity Holdings

  compare estimates of U.S. holdings of equities in over 40 countries with...and far too low in most other countries, particularly in Europe and Asia

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/ifdp/the-geography-of-capital-flows-what-we-can-learn-from-benchmark-surveys-of-foreign-equity-holdings.htm
  



• The Fed - Determinants of Japanese Direct Investment in U.S. Manufacturing Industries

  compares these three models of direct investment using data for Japanese

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/ifdp/determinants-of-japanese-direct-investment-in-us-manufacturing-industries.htm
  



• The Fed - Exchange Rate Forecasting: The Errors We've Really Made

  compare them to a random walk alternative. The resulting "time series"

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/ifdp/exchange-rate-forecasting-the-errors-we39ve-really-made.htm
  



• Summary of Economic Projections -- June 16-17, 2015

  price index for personal consumption expenditures (PCE) and the price

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/files/FOMC20150617SEPcompilation.pdf
  



• The Fed - The Subprime Crisis: Is Government Housing Policy to Blame?

  compare the marginal areas just above and below the thresholds that define

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/the-subprime-crisis-is-government-housing-policy-to-blame.htm
  



• The Fed - Avoiding Nash Inflation: Bayesian and Robust Responses to Model Uncertainty

  compared to the certainty-equivalent case studied by Sargent. We find

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/avoiding-nash-inflation-bayesian-and-robust-responses-to-model-uncertainty.htm
  



• The Fed - Forecasting US inflation in real time

  the longest on record--featuring unemployment that fell to a rate not ...compared to forecasting the aggregate directly; (3) judgmental forecasts

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/forecasting-us-inflation-in-real-time.htm
  



• Federal Reserve Board - Agencies issue host state loan-to-deposit ratios

  compares an out-of-state bank's loan-to-deposit ratio in a host state

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/bcreg20170621a.htm
  

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