Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System

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• Meeting Between Staff of the Federal Reserve System and Representatives of Several Banking Organizations for the 2025 Stress Test Modeling Symposium

  Jackson, Chris Jones, Ben Kanigel, Ed Katz-James, Tammy Phillips, Ryan...news-and-events/events/stress-test-modeling-symposium/2025-stress-test-modeling-symposium.aspx

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/regreform/rr-commpublic/2025-modeling-symposium-meeting-20251117.pdf
  



• The Fed - Measuring Shocks to Banks’ Expectations for Lending Standards Using the Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey

  expectations for macroeconomic and credit performance and, in turn, their...standards—and the shocks we identify—predict reported changes in lending

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/notes/feds-notes/measuring-shocks-to-banks-expectations-for-lending-standards-using-the-senior-loan-officer-opinion-survey-20260223.html
  



• Federal Reserve Board - Is Trend Inflation at Risk of Becoming Unanchored? The Role of Inflation Expectations, Accessible Data

  Expectations, Accessible Data Figure 1. Trend Inflation and Uncertainty

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/notes/feds-notes/is-trend-inflation-at-risk-of-becoming-unanchored-the-role-of-inflation-expectations-accessible-20220331.htm
  



• Federal Reserve Board - A Shadow Rate Model of Intermediate-Term Policy Rate Expectations, Accessible Data

  Expectations, Accessible Data Figure 1: Yield Fitting Errors Basis Points

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/notes/feds-notes/shadow-rate-model-of-intermediate-term-policy-rate-expectations-accessible-20171004.htm
  



• The Fed - Short Rate Expectations, Term Premiums, and Central Bank Use of Derivatives to Reduce Policy Uncertainty

  Expectations, Term Premiums, and Central Bank Use of Derivatives to Reduce...expectations hypothesis, anticipated settings of the short-term interest

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/short-rate-expectations-term-premiums-and-central-bank-use-of-derivatives-to-reduce-policy-uncertainty.htm
  



• The Fed - Are Real Assets Owners Less Averse to Inflation? Evidence from Consumer Sentiments and Inflation Expectations

  Expectations Geng Li, Nitish Ranjan Sinha Abstract: Using data from the...expectations. Third, homeowners' inflation expectations tend to be less

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/are-real-assets-owners-less-averse-to-inflation-evidence-from-consumer-sentiments-and-inflation-expectations.htm
  



• The Fed - The Modern Theory of Forward Foreign Exchange: Some New Consistent Estimates Under Rational Expectations

  Expectations Thomas C. Glaessner PDF: Full Paper Disclaimer: The economic

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/ifdp/the-modern-theory-of-forward-foreign-exchange-some-new-consistent-estimates-under-rational-expectations.htm
  



• The Fed - A Portfolio-Balance Rational-Expectations Model of the Dollar-Mark Rate: May 1973 - June 1977

  Rational-Expectations Model of the Dollar-Mark Rate: May 1973 - June 1977

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/ifdp/a-portfolio-balance-rational-expectations-model-of-the-dollar-mark-rate.htm
  



• The Fed - Expectations and the Adjustment of Trade Flows Under Floating Exchange Rates: Leads, Lags and the J-Curve

  Expectations and the Adjustment of Trade Flows Under Floating Exchange

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/ifdp/expectations-and-the-adjustment-of-trade-flows-under-floating-exchange-rates-leads-lags-and-the-j-curve.htm
  



• The Fed - Are Long-Run Inflation Expectations Anchored More Firmly in the Euro Area than in the United States?

  Expectations Anchored More Firmly in the Euro Area than in the United ...nominal-indexed bond spreads--which gauge compensation for expected inflation

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/are-long-run-inflation-expectations-anchored-more-firmly-in-the-euro-area-than-in-the-united-states.htm
  

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