Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System

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• The Fed - Measuring International Economic Linkages with Stock Market Data

  associated with news about future real and financial variables. In an

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/ifdp/measuring-international-economic-linkages-with-stock-market-data.htm
  



• The Fed - General-to-Specific Procedures for Fitting a Data-Admissible, Theory-Inspired, Congruent, Parsimonious, Encompassing, Weakly Exogenous, Identified, Structural Model to the DGP: A Translation and Critique

  associated with the LSE methodology involves the approach to fitting reduced

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/ifdp/general-to-specific-procedures-for-fitting-a-data-admissible-theory-inspired-congruent-parsimonious-encompassing-weakly-exo.htm
  



• The Fed - Artificial Intelligence Methods for Evaluating Global Trade Flows

  associated economic factors. Models deployed include Association Rules

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/ifdp/artificial-intelligence-methods-for-evaluating-global-trade-flows.htm
  



• The Fed - Conditional and Structural Error Correction Models

  associated representation is of interest. To clarify the nature of such

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/ifdp/conditional-and-structural-error-correction-models.htm
  



• The Fed - Heterogeneous Workers, Optimal Job Seeking, and Aggregate Labor Market Dynamics

  associated with changes in productivity is sluggish. The latter is entirely

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/ifdp/heterogeneous-workers-optimal-job-seeking-and-aggregate-labor-market-dynamics.htm
  



• The Fed - The Real Exchange Rate and Fiscal Policy During the Gold Standard Period: Evidence from the United States and Great Britain

  associated with the fluctuations in the real exchange rate. PDF: Full

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/ifdp/the-real-exchange-rate-and-fiscal-policy-during-the-gold-standard-period-evidence-from-the-united-states-and-great-britain.htm
  



• The Fed - Excess Returns and Risk at the Long End of the Treasury Market: An Egarch-M Approach

  associated in some subperiods with rising excess returns on longer-term

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/ifdp/excess-returns-and-risk-at-the-long-end-of-the-treasury-market-an-egarch-m-approach.htm
  



• The Fed - Political Competition, Causal Relationships Between Taxes and Spending, and Their Influence on Government Size: Evidence From State-Level Data

  associated with bigger government, and state governments which "tax first

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/ifdp/political-competition-causal-relationships-between-taxes-and-spending-and-their-influence-on-government-size-evidence-from-.htm
  



• The Fed - Liquidity Risk and U.S. Bank Lending at Home and Abroad

  associated with ex ante liquidity management strategies as reflected in

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/ifdp/liquidity-risk-and-us-bank-lending-at-home-and-abroad.htm
  



• The Fed - Currency Crashes in Emerging Markets: An Empirical Treatment

  associated with a high likelihood of a crash. PDF: Full Paper Disclaimer

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/ifdp/currency-crashes-in-emerging-markets-an-empirical-treatment.htm
  

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