Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System

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• FRB: FEDS Notes: November 2014 update of the FRB/US model

  GDP that abstracts from measurement error, which we call XGDO. As in the...GDP, XGDP, is chain-aggregated from various expenditure categories. XGDO

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econresdata/notes/feds-notes/2014/november-2014-update-of-the-frbus-model-20141121.html
  



• FRB: Supervisory Scenarios, Dodd-Frank Act Stress Test 2015: Supervisory Stress Test Methodology and Results March-2015

  flight-to-safety capital flows associated with the scenario's global recession...flight-to-safety capital flows. Figure 2. Unemployment rate in the severely

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/bankinforeg/stress-tests/2015-supervisory-scenarios.htm
  



• The Fed - Housing and the Business Cycle

  GDP, consumption, and both types of investment co-move positively. We

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/housing-and-the-business-cycle.htm
  



• The Fed - The Differential Impact of Bank Size on Systemic Risk

  GDP growth caused by stress at banks in the top 0.15 percent of the size

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/the-differential-impact-of-bank-size-on-systemic-risk.htm
  



• The Fed - Interest Rates and M2 in an Error-Correction Macro Model

  GDP, that is robust to the inclusion of other explanatory variables. When

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/interest-rates-and-m2-in-an-error-correction-macro-model.htm
  



• The Fed - Incorporating Vintage Differences and Forecasts into Markov Switching Models

  GDP and GDI to recognize the start of the 2001 recession. Full Paper (

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/incorporating-vintage-differences-and-forecasts-into-markov-switching-models.htm
  



• The Fed - Where are Global and U.S. Trade Heading in the Aftermath of the Trade Collapse: Issues and Alternative Scenarios

  GDP growth going forward and the relationship between trade and economic

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/ifdp/where-are-global-and-us-trade-heading-in-the-aftermath-of-the-trade-collapse-issues-and-alternative-scenarios.htm
  



• The Fed - International Reserves, Credit Constraints, and Systemic Sudden Stops

  GDP similar to those of Latin American countries. Additionally, the optimal

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/ifdp/international-reserves-credit-constraints-and-systemic-sudden-stops.htm
  



• The Fed - Monetary Policy: Monetary Policy Report (Branch)

  employment-to-population EU European Union FOMC Federal Open Market Committee...GDP gross domestic product JOLTS Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/2019-02-mpr-abbreviations.htm
  



• The Fed - Monetary Policy: Monetary Policy Report (Branch)

  GDP gross domestic product LFPR labor force participation rate MBS mortgage-backed

  URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/2022-02-mpr-abbreviations.htm
  

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